Maria Rana, lecturer in economics and finance from the 伦福利片 Business School, comments on Chancellor Rishi Sunak鈥檚 economic plan for Covid-19 recovery.
She said: 鈥淚n the first quarter of this year UK GDP experienced its sharpest quarterly contraction since 1979 (ONS). Last week, more than 12,000 jobs were slashed in just two days. The IMF expects the UK economy to contract 10.2% this year, with only a partial recovery in 2021.
鈥淭hat is the background to Chancellor Rishi Sunak鈥檚 announcement today of a package of measures designed to support the economy as Covid-19 lockdown measures have been further relaxed last Saturday.
鈥淒uring a crisis that has been defined 鈥渓ike no other鈥 and with uncertain recovering, did we get what we needed?
鈥淭he temporary cut of VAT to 5% in the hospitality sector, as well as the 50% discount for meals out are welcome and should help sustain demand. However, these incentives might not have the desired effect in the absence of an efficient tracing system that can help people to feel safe to go out. Additionally, the plan to award 拢1,000 to those businesses that keep workers employed until the start of the new year seems an insufficient measure to contain the wave of redundancies expected once the furlough scheme ends in October.
鈥淚t also remains to be seen who will benefit the most from the stamp duty cut. This, in fact, might be not enough of an incentive to boost demand for houses in a time when people are actually worrying about the uncertainty of their jobs and future with precautionary saving as a consequence. One thing, unfortunately, seems to be certain: the UK and world economy are in for a rocky few months.
鈥淚n October 2013, the then Chancellor of Exchequer, George Osborne, justified austerity measures by saying that the UK Government should be 鈥淔ixing the roof while the sun is shining鈥.
鈥淭he sun was not particularly bright then, and it has not been shining for a long time, at least since the Brexit referendum in 2016. In addition, an unexpected storm has arrived, so it would not be wise to focus on fixing the roof.
鈥淭his can be done when the sun will be shining again, however considering the uncertainty related to the pandemic and post Brexit negotiations, this might not be for a while, and definitely not by the time of the autumn budget.鈥
Professor Allan Walker, Dean of the School of Arts, Media and Creative Technology at the 伦福利片 said: 鈥淎s a result of the current COVID-19 pandemic, our creative industries have taken a huge hit financially, while at the same time, the importance of arts and culture for our sense of well-being and personal connection has never been more obvious or necessary. As we emerge from the long period of lockdown, our world-renowned creative sector will be a key element in driving the UK鈥檚 recovery and in revitalising the quality of our lives. The Government鈥檚 announcement to deliver a 拢1.57 billion rescue package comes at a critical time to ensure we are able to rebuild the creative industries and for the UK to resume its global role at the forefront of culture, heritage and the arts.鈥
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